London’s Daily Guardian once commented that no news from Bangladesh is good news. There was a time when people abroad did not hear any news from Bangladesh which they could treat as good news. The situation has changed now. There are many good pieces of news from the country nowadays. But still people inside and outside of Bangladesh are confused about the situation in the country which at times become volatile.

Earlier this year we have witnessed the uprising of medieval Hefajati forces. We have seen the Shahbagh movement alongside with Hefajat's upheaval. After that it seemed that the country was going towards normalcy and election will take place in time and democracy will not be threatened from any quarters-left or right.

However, that situation did not last very long. The present condition is very confusing and sometimes it indicates uncertain future. Whether the election will be held with the participation of all the parties or the present deadlock will continue and lead the country towards an anarchy, is hanging in balance.

The Nobel Laureate Dr. Yunus has now reappeared in the political scene which he abandoned five years ago and taken direct side with opposition camp of Awami League. His critics have pointed out ironically that the Yunus centre in Mirpur has become the new Kashim Bazar Kuthi in Bangladesh. All sorts of people and rootless political parties and even one man parties are meeting him and Dr. Yunus is giving them political guideline which directly goes against the government. He openly supports the demand of BNP-Jamaat alliance that election should be held under a caretaker government.

Despite the different elections including the elections of city corporations recently held under the election commission were proved to be free and fair, the American Ambassador Mozena who rushed to meet the EC with European diplomats and representatives complained that they were not satisfied with the election preparation under the present EC.

When there is no complaint from any quarters that there have been irregularities in the recent elections then why the western diplomats are so eager to pressurize EC to oblige them with their each and every condition? The present government is determined to hold the general election on time under the rules of constitution and the Prime Minister is reiterating her commitment to hold the election. Then why do unnecessary western activities pressurise the government to accept the opposition's demand of caretaker government?

In 2001 the majority of western diplomats in Dhaka including their Tuesday Club played a game which helped BNP-Jamaat alliance to come to power. This time what is the aim of western diplomacy led by America in Bangladesh? It is evident that they are not happy with the present government for many issues including Padma Bridge and Grameen Bank.
Though Grameen Bank is an internal issue of Bangladesh, American hierarchy did not hesitate to interfere in the internal affairs of a small country. Now it seems they are playing a dual game.

The million dollar question is whether they really want to displace the present Awami government from power and help the BNP-Jamaat alliance to capture it. If Jamaat is not allowed to participate in the election they will come in a new name under the umbrella of BNP. Or, America's aim may be to create the Egyptian situation in Bangladesh, help a fundamentalist like Morsi to capture power first, then with the support of secularist oust him and create the opportunity for military takeover under a civilian henchman.

Some of the political observers speculate that America under Obama administration wants to play a cat and mouse game like the Middle-east in South Asia also. From the mid 70's they created Jihadists to combat the spread of communism in that region. Secularist Nasser of Egypt or Sukarno of Indonesia was not their friends.
In Iran America helped the present Shia Clerics against the Mossadegh government who was a secularist democrat. Mullah Kashani, the then leader of clerics was patronized by America and he was given a luxurious plane to go to Mecca to perform Hajj. The clerics of Iran under the patronisation of America stood against Mossadegh government and the Tudah Party (communist party) in the name of saving Islam. After the fall of Mossadegh government Shah of Iran regained his throne, cracked down on the clerics and the next leader of the clerics Ayatollah Khomeini had to flee from Iran and took asylum in Paris. Gradually, Iranian clerics became anti-American. The same history repeated in Afghanistan. The Taliban and Al-Qaeda were created by America to oust a communist government from Kabul and that Al-Qaeda became deadly enemy of America later on.

In Bangladesh we witness a similar pattern of American diplomacy. From the latter period of last century America started patronising Jamaat and even described them as a moderate democratic Islamic Party though Jamaat's history of politics is full of bloodshed and war crimes. In Bangladesh also America and some of their western allies wanted to play Jamaat against secular and democratic parties to keep their economic and strategic dominance in the region.
After the end of Bush era and the failure of new world order there was a fresh breath of democracy for a short while in Obama's first administration. So it was possible in some of the countries including Bangladesh for democracy to survive and come to power. Now with the change of global situation Obama is forced to retreat from his liberal policy and to succumb to the pressure of the new con's, which was the backbone of previous Bush administration.
Some of the liberal American observers think the present policy of the Obama administration is old wine in a new bottle.

They cannot create military dictatorship anymore as a saviour of any nation so they have to cover it with civilian mask. Afghan war proved America cannot defeat the Jihadists anywhere with the support of their military cohorts. So they had to allow the Muslim Brotherhood to come to power in Egypt. As a result the secularist parties even those who were anti-American had to come out to street in fear of fundamentalist rule and supported military take-over. Now in Egypt military is again in power under a civilian mask. So America has killed two birds with one stone-the Jihadist and the Secularist, both and Egypt is under their control.

If this analysis is correct then similar game may be played in Bangladesh also. I may be wrong but this assumption in many minds is very strong. The American subtle diplomacy may try to help the fundamentalist alliance under the cover of BNP to come to power. The secularist parties including Awami Laegue will then be forced to make a strong alliance and go to the street to prevent a looming Taliban rule in Bangladesh. Even they may be forced to support the military intervention to keep the secular character of the state. That will be the opportune moment for the so-called civil society or the Yunus camp to come out and grab power which they could not achieve in a general election through mass support. I pray to God that the scenario of Egypt is not repeated in Bangladesh and we do not witness a real civil war in this country.

Still there is time for Awami League and other democratic parties to be united strongly and take a stand against this two pronged conspiracy of global imperialism. We can prevent the Cairo scenario from repeating in Dhaka if we alert the people against the fundamentalist conspiracy and the dangerous trap set by a so-called civil society. They have set up a Kashim Bazar Kuthi already in Dhaka. The secularist and democratic forces of the country should be aware of this trap before it is too late.